Brian2016

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Forum: NHL TradesSat at 12:19 am
Forum: NHL TradesFri at 9:49 pm
Forum: NHLThu at 12:23 am
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rangersandislesfan</b></div><div>I don't know how many of these are actually bold, but whatever ... i'm going to try to make actual bold predictions. Some of these might be really bold, but whatever ... that's the fun part lol.

Anaheim Ducks - Fowler is traded by the deadline.
Arizona Coyotes - Derek Stepan bounces back and scores at least 60 points.
Boston Bruins - Jake DeBrusk gets at least 60 points.
Buffalo Sabres - Mittelstadt gets 55 points.
Calgary Flames - Brodie, Frolik, and Hamonic are all on the roster by the end of the season.
Carolina Hurricanes - Svechnikov gets 70 points.
Chicago Blackhawks - Gustafsson gets 60+ points for the 2nd straight season.
Colorado Avalanche - Jost gets 50 points.
Columbus Blue Jackets - Finish with at least 87 points.
Dallas Stars - Klingberg finishes with 75+ points.
Detroit Red Wings - Howard is moved by the deadline.
Edmonton Oilers - McDavid gets 130+ points.
Florida Panthers - Make it to the Stanley Cup Final.
Los Angeles Kings - Dustin Brown scores less than 30 points.
Minnesota Wild - Both Spurgeon and Koivu are gone by the deadline.
Montreal Canadiens - Kotkaniemi finishes with at least 60 points.
Nashville Predators - Mikael Granlund scores 80 points and is given an 8 year extension.
New Jersey Devils - Hall re-signs for 11M+ while Vatanen is moved at the deadline.
New York Islanders - Anders Lee scores 80 points.
New York Rangers - Panarin gets 100 points. (Maybe not bold but whatever).
Ottawa Senators - Tkachuk leads the team in points with 55 or less.
Philadelphia Flyers - Couturier wins the Selke while scoring 85+ points.
Pittsburgh Penguins - Crosby gets less than 90 points.
San Jose Sharks - Stanley Cup Champions. (Idk if it's bold but i have to put it here lol.)
St. Louis Blues - Bozak scores less than 30 points but is at least 0.75 P/GP in the playoffs.
Tampa Bay Lightning - 3 players get 100+ points.
Toronto Maple Leafs - 3rd in Atlantic while still getting at least 110 points.
Vancouver Canucks - Boeser gets 90 points.
Vegas Golden Knights - Gusev plays the year in Russia
Washington Capitals - Holtby wins the Vezina and is extended for 10M+.
Winnipeg Jets - Laine bounces back and wins the Rocket Richard.</div></div>

Vatanen won't be moved at the deadline unless the Devils are out of a playoff spot. If they're out of a playoff spot considering the off-season moves they've made I highly doubt Hall will consider an extension. Either both will be Devils after the deadline, or neither will be Devils after the deadline. It's the Panarin/Bob sequel. Hall will not re-sign unless he can compete for the Cup. That much he's made very clear: "I've only won one playoff game in my career."
Forum: NHLTue at 7:49 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KoneDome</b></div><div>Was just looking at a few contracts earlier today and with the shift to RFAs wanting big money right away there are a few contracts that are going to look AMAZING in a three or four years. Here are a few:

Kucherov: $9.5m for the next 7 years. Will be in his prime for basically the entire contact. In five years from now, there could literally be 50 players making more than him, there are already around 15 making more than him right now.

McDavid: $12.5m for another 7 years. Don't have to say much here. In a few years there will be players making more than him, and there shouldn't be.

Crosby: $8.7m for another 6 years. Eventually we will see the decline, but what would he be worth right now on a 6 year deal ($12m plus?).

Tarasenko: $7.5m for another 4 years. Can be dynamic and pile up goals. Can easily be a 40 goal scorer most seasons. Has the 10th most goals in last three seasons, and is currently the 21st highest paid FWD and could easily be out of the top 50 in terms of salary by end of his deal.

Nylander (people are gonna love this): $6.9m for another 5 years. Put up 62 points each of first two years until last years mess of a season. I do not think it is at all out of the realm of possibility that he can be a consistent 70 point player, maybe even more if he plays with Matthews. And to pay $6.9 for a 60-70 point guy is a bargain when guys like Kevin Hayes, JVR, Anders Lee, Max Pacioretty, and Evander Kane have all recently signed deals at a higher AAV.


Who have I missed?</div></div>

I agree w/ almost everything you say, except about Nylander. Dubas was backed into a corner and couldn't throw away a chance to contend for the Cup. I think he highly regrets the contract today and would almost certainly take a loss if he traded him now. Nylander is nowhere near as good defensively as Hayes or Kane, and nowhere near as good of a goal scorer as JVR or Pacioretty. I think Dubas would love to have JVR over Nylander right now despite the age difference. Nylander is soft and scared to go to the dirty areas. He was a disappointment last season and showed that he couldn't perform well independent from a top line Center.
Forum: NHLTue at 7:41 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KoneDome</b></div><div>Was just looking at a few contracts earlier today and with the shift to RFAs wanting big money right away there are a few contracts that are going to look AMAZING in a three or four years. Here are a few:

Kucherov: $9.5m for the next 7 years. Will be in his prime for basically the entire contact. In five years from now, there could literally be 50 players making more than him, there are already around 15 making more than him right now.

McDavid: $12.5m for another 7 years. Don't have to say much here. In a few years there will be players making more than him, and there shouldn't be.

Crosby: $8.7m for another 6 years. Eventually we will see the decline, but what would he be worth right now on a 6 year deal ($12m plus?).

Tarasenko: $7.5m for another 4 years. Can be dynamic and pile up goals. Can easily be a 40 goal scorer most seasons. Has the 10th most goals in last three seasons, and is currently the 21st highest paid FWD and could easily be out of the top 50 in terms of salary by end of his deal.

Nylander (people are gonna love this): $6.9m for another 5 years. Put up 62 points each of first two years until last years mess of a season. I do not think it is at all out of the realm of possibility that he can be a consistent 70 point player, maybe even more if he plays with Matthews. And to pay $6.9 for a 60-70 point guy is a bargain when guys like Kevin Hayes, JVR, Anders Lee, Max Pacioretty, and Evander Kane have all recently signed deals at a higher AAV.


Who have I missed?</div></div>

I asked myself this question the other day (probably b/c nobody besides me cares): What is McDavid's fair market value? Or, what would he bring today as a UFA on a max contract? Look at Panarin's $11.6M+: He's 27 years old (will be 28 in Oct.) and he took about a 20% discount to play in NYC. Clearly McDavid is worth much, much more than NYI or CBJ were willing to offer him, which was alleged to be north of $13M AAV. McDavid is a Center, the best offensive player in the game, and only 22 years old.

My conclusion: McDav id would receive offers of at least $15M+ AAV if he was UFA this summer. He's obviously tremendously undervalued at his current level, despite being the highest paid player in the league.
My other conclusion: Teams rarely regret handing out huge money contracts to elite players. There are very few, if any elite players making "too much" money relative to their value to their respective teams. The mid-range guys like Lucic, Eriksson, Neal, etc. are the killers.